FC Barcelona go in as 2nd favorites in their UEFA Champions League quarterfinals match versus one of the big favorites in the tournament, Bayern Munich.
Based upon wagering chances, Bayern have a 59% opportunity to advance, while Barcelona have a 41% possibility. These are not frustrating odds, but they are quite tilted given we are speaking about a single-match removal where anything can happen. Barcelona are roughly speaking, as much as an underdog here as Atalanta against Paris Saint-Germain.
Chance to advance based upon betting oddsPSG 61% Atalanta 39% Atletico Madrid 55% RB Leipzig 45% Bayern Munich 59% Barcelona 41% Manchester City 84% Lyon 16%– Luis Mazariegos (@luism8989) August 11, 2020
Based on wagering chances, Bayern have a 59% opportunity to advance, while Barcelona have a 41% possibility. Napoli changed around half its outfield players prior to Barcelona made a single modification. You can try to nullify Bayerns speed in attack by protecting deeper, and Barcelona in a 4-4-2 would not be overwhelmed numerically on the flanks. Barcelona could likewise use a more simple 4-3-3, with 2 wingers giving defense to the fullbacks. Ultimately Barcelonas approach to this game may not be a million miles away to how a top 6 team would go up against a league leader, which says a lot about where the two European giants are right now.
Quique Setién led a successful, but unconvincing, display screen versus Napoli in a 3-1 win. Regardless of reports that he would go to a 3-5-2 with Riqui Puig from the start, the manager opted for a more basic 4-3-1-2 formation, and no Puig at all, even off the bench.
Now, there is a report coming from the same source that Barcelona could field a 4-4-2 with Sergi Roberto and Frenkie de Jong joining Sergio Busquets and Arturo Vidal in the middle. Griezmann would be dropped in this case.
Setién utilized a 4-4-2 both against Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid, so its not completely out of left field. I indicate, Barcelona won neither video game but its not as if either performance was particularly bad. Versus Real, they lost thanks primarily to a deflected shot by Vinícius, while versus Atléti, there was a couple of highly contentious decisions that protected the draw.
Its no secret that Bayern rely on the rate of their wingers and fullbacks to assault you, as they advance rapidly down the flanks and seek to discover either Thomas Müller to help or Robert Lewandowski to supply the finishing touch. The 4-4-2 in theory gives more protection to the flanks than the 4-3-1-2, as instead of a band of three midfielders, we might see a bank of four.
Barcelona would not have a lot of rate to get in behind Bayerns very high line, which is a method you can injure them. If you can manage the very first wave of pushing, there is area for a quick player to exploit, however Barcelona dont have lots of.
Ousmane Dembélé does have rate, and might be in shape, but hasnt played in an extremely, long time. Ansu Fati is an alternative. I question if Setién is thinking about fielding Alba as a midfielder, with Junior Firpo as a left-back. He did that for about two minutes against Napoli.
Barcelona got away with the win versus the Italians since Messi was extraordinary in more or less solitarily winning a charge and scoring an objective, and after that scoring off a set piece. The Catalans rode their luck defending, and Napoli came close to getting at least one objective on several occasions.
Bayern will not be so flexible, but maybe Setién feels his only genuine shot is to secure his back four as much as possible and expect more miracles from Messi, or perhaps a set piece objective, or perhaps a timely contribution from in other places.
Setién needs to be able to make more replacements, as I feel just utilizing his first on 84 minutes, and after that the second only in interruption time, and letting 3 go unused is simply not proactive enough. Napoli changed around half its outfield players prior to Barcelona made a single modification. With Ansu Fati, Riqui Puig, Griezmann, Firpo, Monchu, and Rakitić on the bench, there suffice players to make a minimum of a couple of more switches to refresh the side. He can likewise vary the method and even the formation by putting in someone like Griezmann comes in.
You can attempt to nullify Bayerns speed in attack by safeguarding much deeper, and Barcelona in a 4-4-2 wouldnt be overwhelmed numerically on the flanks. With the ball however, there may be a lack of imagination to get an objective. Theres likewise every opportunity that you keep permitting Bayern possibilities to attack, and they can score via the extremely in-form Lewandowski or another route, even if its not a goal thats created through sheer speed.
I can see Barcelona attempting to keep it tight in the very first half, hoping for an odd goal from a set piece or creation by Messi, and then play the 2nd half either to preserve ball game or, if they require to chase the game, tossing on Griezmann and maybe even Puig or Fati.
The 4-3-1-2 might overload the middle of the pitch, in theory, however it appears to leave the flanks open. Barcelona might also use a more straightforward 4-3-3, with two wingers giving protection to the fullbacks. In practice, Barcelona actually just have Fati who is a real winger. Messi doesnt provide the team a great deal of security on the right. Griezmann isnt really the right fit either.
Ultimately Barcelonas method to this video game might not be a million miles away to how a top six group would go up against a league leader, which states a lot about where the 2 European giants are right now. These type of methods arent always effective, and they may appear a bit antithetical to Barcelonas style, but they do have their uses. Its simply unusual that its Setién, of all individuals, who would be executing this. This formation, method, and lineup, appears straight out of Ernesto Valverdes book.